AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Clausura Nov 20, 2025

Nacional Asunción

Home
VS
22:30

Sportivo Ameliano

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Nacional Asunción Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.62 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nacional Asunción Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Sportivo Ameliano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Nacional Asunción Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 14 Nacional … vs Club Guar… 0-0
Nov 10 Nacional … vs Atlético … 0-2
Nov 05 Nacional … vs General C… 2-1
Nov 01 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 0-0
Oct 27 Nacional … vs Cerro Por… 1-2
Oct 17 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 1-0
Oct 12 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 1-1
Oct 06 Nacional … vs General C… 1-1
Oct 02 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 0-0
Sep 27 Nacional … vs Libertad … 3-1
Sportivo Ameliano Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 2-3
Nov 02 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-1
Oct 27 Sportivo … vs General C… 1-4
Oct 18 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 1-2
Oct 12 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 1-1
Oct 04 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 2-1
Sep 29 Sportivo … vs Deportivo… 1-4
Sep 24 Sportivo … vs General C… 0-0
Sep 20 Sportivo … vs Cerro Por… 2-0
Sep 12 Sportivo … vs Atlético … 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2025 Sportivo Ameliano 3 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
May 04, 2025 Nacional Asunción 0 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Feb 22, 2025 Sportivo Ameliano 2 - 1 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Oct 06, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Aug 04, 2024 Nacional Asunción 0 - 0 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Apr 06, 2024 Nacional Asunción 1 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Jan 19, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Oct 28, 2023 Nacional Asunción 2 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Aug 11, 2023 Sportivo Ameliano 2 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nacional Asunción to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nacional Asunción Power 0
Sportivo Ameliano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.