AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jul 20, 2025

Atlas

Home
VS
03:05

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Atlas Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Cruz Azul Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.65 - 1.41
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Atlas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 12 Atlas vs Puebla 2-3
Apr 20 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 1-1
Apr 17 Atlas vs Querétaro 1-2
Apr 13 Atlas vs Toluca 2-3
Apr 05 Atlas vs FC Juarez 1-1
Mar 29 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 3-2
Feb 19 Atlas vs Necaxa 0-4
Feb 15 Atlas vs Puebla 3-2
Jan 12 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Dec 28 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Cruz Azul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Cruz Azul vs Mazatlán … 0-0
May 19 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 2-1
May 16 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-0
May 12 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
May 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-3
May 02 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-0
Apr 24 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Apr 20 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 2-2
Apr 16 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
Apr 13 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Atlas Liga MX
Nov 07, 2024 Atlas 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 22, 2024 Cruz Azul 2 - 2 Atlas Liga MX
Jul 02, 2023 Atlas 2 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
May 06, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Atlas Liga MX
Feb 23, 2023 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Jul 16, 2022 Atlas 3 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Jun 27, 2022 Atlas 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Campeón de Cam…
Apr 03, 2022 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlas to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlas Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlas Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.