AI Match Insights

Liga MX Sep 14, 2025

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
01:00

León FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
León FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
León FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Tigres UANL Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 0-1
Aug 24 Tigres UA… vs Mazatlán … 2-2
Aug 17 Tigres UA… vs Club Amér… 1-3
Aug 09 Tigres UA… vs Puebla 7-0
Jul 27 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 3-4
Jul 20 Tigres UA… vs FC Juarez 1-0
May 18 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 3-0
May 15 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 1-1
May 12 Tigres UA… vs Necaxa 2-2
May 09 Tigres UA… vs Necaxa 0-0
León FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 León FC vs Querétaro 3-0
Aug 23 León FC vs Pachuca 1-1
Aug 16 León FC vs Necaxa 0-1
Aug 12 León FC vs Monterrey 1-3
Jul 27 León FC vs Cruz Azul 4-1
Jul 20 León FC vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Jul 14 León FC vs Atletico … 0-1
May 12 León FC vs Cruz Azul 2-1
May 09 León FC vs Cruz Azul 2-3
Apr 21 León FC vs Monterrey 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigres UANL in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 León FC 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Sep 28, 2024 Tigres UANL 2 - 2 León FC Liga MX
Jan 18, 2024 León FC 1 - 2 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 16, 2023 Tigres UANL 1 - 0 León FC Liga MX
May 04, 2023 León FC 3 - 1 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champ…
May 01, 2023 León FC 3 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Apr 26, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 León FC CONCACAF Champ…
Sep 11, 2022 Tigres UANL 0 - 1 León FC Liga MX
Mar 12, 2022 León FC 0 - 3 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres UANL to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
León FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

+5

Position Gap

12

León FC Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.