AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Sep 20, 2025

Pachuca

Home
VS
23:00

Querétaro

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Pachuca Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Querétaro Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.29 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pachuca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Querétaro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Pachuca Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Pachuca vs Racing Po… 0-1
Sep 13 Pachuca vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Aug 31 Pachuca vs Club Amér… 2-0
Aug 30 Pachuca vs Deportiva… 3-1
Aug 23 Pachuca vs LeĂłn FC 1-1
Aug 17 Pachuca vs Club Tiju… 0-2
Aug 10 Pachuca vs Atlas 0-3
Jul 26 Pachuca vs Mazatlán … 1-0
Jul 20 Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. … 2-3
Jul 13 Pachuca vs Monterrey 3-0
Querétaro Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Querétaro vs Monterrey 0-1
Aug 30 Querétaro vs León FC 3-0
Aug 23 Querétaro vs Atletico … 3-2
Aug 17 Querétaro vs Atlas 3-3
Aug 10 Querétaro vs Club Amér… 1-0
Jul 26 Querétaro vs U.N.A.M. … 0-2
Jul 19 Querétaro vs Necaxa 3-1
Jul 12 Querétaro vs Club Tiju… 1-0
Apr 21 Querétaro vs FC Juarez 0-2
Apr 17 Querétaro vs Atlas 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pachuca struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • QuerĂ©taro struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 30, 2025 Querétaro 0 - 1 Pachuca Liga MX
Aug 31, 2024 Pachuca 1 - 1 Querétaro Liga MX
Mar 10, 2024 Pachuca 1 - 2 Querétaro Liga MX
Aug 21, 2023 Querétaro 1 - 1 Pachuca Liga MX
Apr 30, 2023 Querétaro 0 - 1 Pachuca Liga MX
Jul 05, 2022 Pachuca 2 - 0 Querétaro Liga MX
Feb 15, 2022 Pachuca 2 - 2 Querétaro Liga MX
Aug 23, 2021 Querétaro 0 - 2 Pachuca Liga MX
Feb 05, 2021 Querétaro 3 - 1 Pachuca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pachuca to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pachuca Power 0
Querétaro Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Pachuca Position

+3

Position Gap

16

Querétaro Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.