AI Match Insights
Liga MX Nov 09, 2025
Toluca
HomeVS
01:00
Club América
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Toluca Win
Draw
Club América Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
Combined: 67%
Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
Toluca Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 01 | Toluca vs Atlas | 0-0 |
| Oct 27 | Toluca vs Pachuca | 2-2 |
| Oct 23 | Toluca vs Club Tiju… | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Toluca vs Querétaro | 4-0 |
| Oct 05 | Toluca vs LeĂłn FC | 2-4 |
| Oct 02 | Toluca vs Los Angel… | 2-3 |
| Sep 28 | Toluca vs Mazatlán … | 3-1 |
| Sep 25 | Toluca vs Monterrey | 6-2 |
| Sep 21 | Toluca vs Guadalaja… | 0-3 |
| Sep 14 | Toluca vs Puebla | 3-1 |
Club América Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 02 | Club Amér… vs León FC | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Club Amér… vs Mazatlán … | 2-2 |
| Oct 22 | Club Amér… vs Puebla | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Club Amér… vs Santos La… | 3-0 |
| Sep 28 | Club Amér… vs U.N.A.M. … | 4-1 |
| Sep 25 | Club Amér… vs Atletico … | 0-1 |
| Sep 21 | Club Amér… vs Monterrey | 2-2 |
| Sep 14 | Club Amér… vs Guadalaja… | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Club Amér… vs Pachuca | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Club América in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2025 | Club América | 1 - 3 | Toluca | Campeón de Cam… |
| May 26, 2025 | Toluca | 2 - 0 | Club América | Liga MX |
| May 23, 2025 | Club América | 0 - 0 | Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Club América | 3 - 0 | Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Toluca | 0 - 2 | Club América | Liga MX |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Club América | 2 - 0 | Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Toluca | 4 - 0 | Club América | Liga MX |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Club América | 5 - 1 | Toluca | Liga MX |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Toluca Power
0
Club América Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Toluca Position+4
Position Gap9
Club América Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.