AI Match Insights
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 23, 2025
Tepatitlán
HomeVS
03:00
Dorados
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tepatitlán Win
Draw
Dorados Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.31 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.2
Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Dorados Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (10%)
1-0 (5%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Tepatitlán Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Tepatitlán vs TapatĂo | 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Tepatitlán vs Leones Ne… | 2-1 |
| Apr 25 | Tepatitlán vs Leones Ne… | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | Tepatitlán vs Mineros d… | 1-2 |
| Apr 12 | Tepatitlán vs Alebrijes… | 4-0 |
| Mar 30 | Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… | 2-1 |
| Mar 22 | Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz | 4-1 |
| Mar 16 | Tepatitlán vs Dorados | 1-0 |
Dorados Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Dorados vs Venados FC | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Dorados vs Mineros d… | 3-0 |
| Aug 03 | Dorados vs CancĂşn | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Dorados vs Alebrijes… | 2-2 |
| Apr 12 | Dorados vs CA La Paz | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Dorados vs Venados FC | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Dorados vs Tlaxcala | 3-2 |
| Mar 23 | Dorados vs CDS Tampi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Dorados vs Tepatitlán | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Dorados vs CancĂşn | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Dorados | 1 - 0 | Tepatitlán | Liga de Expans… |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Tepatitlán | 1 - 1 | Dorados | Liga de Expans… |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Tepatitlán | 2 - 0 | Dorados | Liga de Expans… |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Dorados | 1 - 2 | Tepatitlán | Liga de Expans… |
| Mar 02, 2023 | Dorados | 2 - 1 | Tepatitlán | Liga de Expans… |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Tepatitlán | 2 - 0 | Dorados | Liga de Expans… |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Tepatitlán | 2 - 0 | Dorados | Liga de Expans… |
| Dec 05, 2021 | Dorados | 1 - 0 | Tepatitlán | Liga de Expans… |
| Dec 02, 2021 | Tepatitlán | 0 - 1 | Dorados | Liga de Expans… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tepatitlán to win (61% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Tepatitlán Power
0
Dorados Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Tepatitlán Position+5
Position Gap7
Dorados Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.