AI Match Insights

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Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 24, 2025

CancĂșn

Home
VS
01:00

Monarcas

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
CancĂșn Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Monarcas Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 2.66 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.6 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
CancĂșn Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 0-1
Aug 10 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 3-0
Aug 03 CancĂșn vs Dorados 0-1
Apr 20 CancĂșn vs CA La Paz 4-1
Apr 13 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 2-1
Apr 06 CancĂșn vs TapatĂ­o 1-2
Mar 29 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 4-1
Mar 23 CancĂșn vs Celaya 1-1
Mar 16 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Mar 09 CancĂșn vs Dorados 1-0
Monarcas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 3-1
Aug 02 Monarcas vs Correcami
 1-1
May 11 Monarcas vs Leones Ne
 2-0
May 04 Monarcas vs Leones Ne
 2-0
Apr 27 Monarcas vs Atlante FC 2-3
Apr 24 Monarcas vs Atlante FC 0-0
Apr 20 Monarcas vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Apr 13 Monarcas vs CancĂșn 2-1
Apr 06 Monarcas vs Mineros d
 1-1
Mar 29 Monarcas vs Correcami
 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • CancĂșn in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Monarcas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2025 Monarcas 2 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Oct 25, 2024 CancĂșn 3 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Mar 15, 2024 Monarcas 0 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Aug 20, 2023 CancĂșn 2 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Mar 02, 2023 CancĂșn 1 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Sep 23, 2022 Monarcas 0 - 0 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Feb 18, 2022 Monarcas 4 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Oct 14, 2021 CancĂșn 0 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Final Verdict

STANDARD: CancĂșn to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CancĂșn Power 0
Monarcas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

CancĂșn Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Monarcas Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.