AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Oct 19, 2025

Jalapa

Home
VS
21:00

Real Estelí

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Jalapa Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Real Estelí Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Jalapa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Jalapa vs H&H Export 2-2
Sep 27 Jalapa vs Diriangén 0-0
Sep 20 Jalapa vs Managua FC 2-1
Sep 13 Jalapa vs Walter Fe… 3-0
Sep 01 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 2-1
Aug 24 Jalapa vs Real Madr… 4-2
Aug 16 Jalapa vs Matagalpa 0-2
Aug 09 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-1
Aug 02 Jalapa vs H&H Export 1-0
Jul 27 Jalapa vs Real Este… 4-2
Real Estelí Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 17 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 4-0
Sep 28 Real Este… vs UNAN Mana… 0-0
Sep 25 Real Este… vs Diriangén 1-1
Sep 22 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 1-3
Sep 17 Real Este… vs H&H Export 3-1
Sep 14 Real Este… vs Matagalpa 2-1
Aug 28 Real Este… vs Águila 2-0
Aug 25 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 0-0
Aug 22 Real Este… vs Hércules 3-0
Aug 15 Real Este… vs Xelajú 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 27, 2025 Real Estelí 4 - 2 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Mar 29, 2025 Jalapa 1 - 2 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Feb 02, 2025 Real Estelí 1 - 2 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Nov 13, 2024 Jalapa 0 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Nov 07, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 1 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Apr 03, 2024 Real Estelí 5 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Jan 27, 2024 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Sep 30, 2023 Jalapa 2 - 0 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Aug 05, 2023 Real Estelí 4 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jalapa Power 0
Real Estelí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Jalapa Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Real Estelí Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.