AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Oct 26, 2025

Real Estelí

Home
VS
00:25

Diriangén

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Diriangén Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.44 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Diriangén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Real Estelí Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Real Este… vs Managua FC 2-1
Oct 19 Real Este… vs Jalapa 1-1
Oct 17 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 4-0
Sep 28 Real Este… vs UNAN Mana… 0-0
Sep 25 Real Este… vs Diriangén 1-1
Sep 22 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 1-3
Sep 17 Real Este… vs H&H Export 3-1
Sep 14 Real Este… vs Matagalpa 2-1
Aug 28 Real Este… vs Águila 2-0
Aug 25 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 0-0
Diriangén Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Diriangén vs Matagalpa 2-2
Oct 20 Diriangén vs UNAN Mana… 2-1
Oct 17 Diriangén vs Walter Fe… 3-0
Sep 27 Diriangén vs Jalapa 0-0
Sep 25 Diriangén vs Real Este… 1-1
Sep 20 Diriangén vs Rancho Sa… 1-8
Sep 18 Diriangén vs Real Madr… 7-0
Sep 14 Diriangén vs Managua FC 2-0
Aug 28 Diriangén vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Aug 23 Diriangén vs H&H Export 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2025 Diriangén 1 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Diriangén Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Diriangén Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.