Liga Nacional · Nov 02, 2025 21:00
Génesis
PWR 37
PWR 37
1 - 0
FT
Atlético Choloma
PWR 20
PWR 20
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Génesis to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (15%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
0-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Attack35
Defense10
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.6
Génesis Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Atlético Cholo… Form
DLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS29%
Under 2.548%
Génesis Goals
0
8%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Atlético Ch… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Génesisvs
0.38
Atlético Cholo…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Génesis+3
Gap#11
Atlético Ch…
WR 21% 52 pts
WR 13% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Génesis | 52 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 58 | 78 | 52 |
| Atlético Choloma | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 59 | 13 |
Génesis
4.0%
| Oct 26 | Génesis v Olancho | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Génesis v CD Mara… | 0-3 |
| Oct 05 | Génesis v CD Mota… | 4-3 |
| Sep 27 | Génesis v Lobos U… | 2-3 |
| Sep 25 | Génesis v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Génesis v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Sep 15 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 3-2 |
| Aug 30 | Génesis v Victoria | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Génesis v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
Atlético Cholo…
6.0%
| Oct 25 | Atlétic… v Jutical… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Atlétic… v Real Es… | 3-0 |
| Oct 15 | Atlétic… v Lobos U… | 5-1 |
| Sep 28 | Atlétic… v CD Olim… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v Olancho | 6-2 |
| Sep 19 | Atlétic… v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v CD Mara… | 1-0 |
| Sep 10 | Atlétic… v CD Mota… | 0-3 |
| Aug 31 | Atlétic… v Platens… | 3-0 |
| Aug 24 | Atlétic… v Génesis | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Atlético Chol… | 2-1 | Génesis |
Key Factors
Génesis struggling (3L in last 5)
Atlético Choloma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.