AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Championship May 18, 2025

Orange County SC

Home
VS
02:00

New Mexico United

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Orange County SC Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
New Mexico United Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.21 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orange County SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
New Mexico United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Orange County SC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 09 Orange Co… vs North Car… 1-0
May 04 Orange Co… vs FC UFA 2-1
Apr 13 Orange Co… vs Sacrament… 2-1
Nov 10 Orange Co… vs Colorado … 2-1
Nov 02 Orange Co… vs Memphis 9… 0-1
Oct 27 Orange Co… vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Oct 20 Orange Co… vs New Mexic… 0-0
Oct 17 Orange Co… vs El Paso L… 0-2
Jul 04 Orange Co… vs New Mexic… 2-0
May 08 Orange Co… vs Loudoun U… 1-2
New Mexico United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 New Mexic… vs Phoenix R… 1-2
May 04 New Mexic… vs El Paso L… 3-0
Apr 24 New Mexic… vs Monterrey 1-0
Mar 24 New Mexic… vs Panama 2-1
Nov 10 New Mexic… vs Las Vegas… 0-1
Nov 04 New Mexic… vs Phoenix R… 2-1
Oct 27 New Mexic… vs Memphis 9… 2-3
Oct 20 New Mexic… vs England 4-2
Oct 20 New Mexic… vs Orange Co… 0-0
Oct 13 New Mexic… vs FC UFA 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Orange County SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • New Mexico United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2024 Orange County SC 0 - 0 New Mexico United USL Championsh…
Jul 04, 2024 New Mexico United 2 - 0 Orange County SC USL Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Orange County SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Orange County SC Power 0
New Mexico United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.