A-League · Oct 18, 2025 06:00

Western Sydney Wanderers
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Melbourne City
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Western Sydney… Form LWWDW
STABLE
Melbourne City Form WLLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS70%
Under 2.530%
Western Syd… Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Melbourne C… Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Western Sydney…
vs
1.48
Melbourne City
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Western Syd…
-5
Gap
#7
Melbourne C…
WR 33% 16 pts WR 22% 22 pts
Western Sydney… 14.0%
May 10 Western… v Melbour… 1-2
May 03 Western… v Macarth… 1-3
Apr 26 Western… v Newcast… 0-1
Apr 19 Western… v Melbour… 2-2
Apr 13 Western… v Western… 2-0
Apr 05 Western… v Auckland 1-1
Mar 29 Western… v Welling… 2-2
Mar 15 Western… v Melbour… 4-2
Mar 02 Western… v Perth G… 4-1
Feb 22 Western… v Central… 0-4
Melbourne City 10.0%
Oct 10 Melbour… v Sydney … 3-2
Oct 01 Melbour… v Vissel … 1-0
Sep 16 Melbour… v Sanfrec… 0-2
May 31 Melbour… v Melbour… 1-0
May 24 Melbour… v Western… 1-1
May 16 Melbour… v Western… 0-3
May 03 Melbour… v Sydney 5-1
Apr 26 Melbour… v Adelaid… 0-0
Apr 19 Melbour… v Western… 2-2
Apr 11 Melbour… v Brisban… 3-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Apr 19, 2025 Western Sydne… 2-2 Melbourne City
Nov 30, 2024 Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydne…
Apr 20, 2024 Western Sydne… 1-2 Melbourne City
Mar 12, 2024 Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydne…
Jan 12, 2024 Melbourne City 0-1 Western Sydne…
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3-2 Western Sydne…
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydne… 1-1 Melbourne City
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydne… 1-3 Melbourne City
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3-3 Western Sydne…
Key Factors
Western Sydney Wanderers in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.