AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense U20 Oct 18, 2025

Fortaleza U20

Home
VS
19:00

Ferroviario U20

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Fortaleza U20 Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Ferroviario U20 Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.53 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortaleza U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Ferroviario U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Fortaleza U20 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Fortaleza… vs Ferroviar… 0-3
Sep 28 Fortaleza… vs Quixadá U… 1-3
Sep 20 Fortaleza… vs Atlético … 0-1
Sep 13 Fortaleza… vs Atlético … 0-1
Sep 06 Fortaleza… vs Ceará U20 1-0
Aug 30 Fortaleza… vs Anjos do … 0-7
Aug 23 Fortaleza… vs Alianca U… 4-0
Aug 16 Fortaleza… vs Horizonte… 0-2
Jul 31 Fortaleza… vs RB Bragan… 3-2
Jul 26 Fortaleza… vs Caucaia U… 4-0
Ferroviario U20 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Ferroviar… vs Fortaleza… 0-3
Oct 02 Ferroviar… vs Ceará U20 0-1
Sep 28 Ferroviar… vs Ceará U20 2-1
Sep 24 Ferroviar… vs Ceará U20 2-0
Sep 13 Ferroviar… vs Floresta … 2-1
Aug 23 Ferroviar… vs Itarema U… 0-7
Aug 09 Ferroviar… vs Itapipoca… 2-0
Aug 02 Ferroviar… vs Pacatuba … 0-1
Jul 12 Ferroviar… vs Pague Men… 1-1
Jun 28 Ferroviar… vs Quixadá U… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fortaleza U20 in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Ferroviario U20 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 12, 2025 Ferroviario U20 0 - 3 Fortaleza U20 Cearense U20
Jun 04, 2025 Ferroviario U20 2 - 2 Fortaleza U20 Cearense U20
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortaleza U20 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortaleza U20 Power 0
Ferroviario U20 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.