Azerbaijan Premier League · Oct 17, 2025 15:00
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
1-2 (10%)
0-1 (8%)
0-2 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Turan Tovuz Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Qarabağ FK Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS61%
Under 2.540%
Turan Tovuz Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Turan Tovuzvs
1.89
Qarabağ FKDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum42%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Turan Tovuz-1
Gap#2
Qarabağ FK
WR 50% 30 pts
WR 71% 39 pts
Turan Tovuz
16.0%
| Oct 04 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 0-3 |
| Sep 28 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Turan T… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Sep 13 | Turan T… v Qabala | 1-0 |
| Aug 29 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Turan T… v Araz | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Turan T… v Mil-Muğ… | 0-1 |
| May 25 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 4-0 |
| May 17 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 0-1 |
| May 10 | Turan T… v Neftchi… | 1-2 |
Qarabağ FK
20.0%
| Oct 04 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Qarabağ… v FC Cope… | 2-0 |
| Sep 26 | Qarabağ… v Qabala | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 0-5 |
| Sep 16 | Qarabağ… v Benfica | 2-3 |
| Sep 12 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Qarabağ… v Karvan | 0-2 |
| Aug 27 | Qarabağ… v Ferencv… | 2-3 |
| Aug 22 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 0-1 |
| Aug 19 | Qarabağ… v Ferencv… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Mar 28, 2025 | Turan Tovuz | 1-4 | Qarabağ FK |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 1-2 | Turan Tovuz |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 0-0 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 0-1 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 17, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 4-3 | Turan Tovuz |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-3 | Qarabağ FK |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 2-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 28, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Turan Tovuz |
Key Factors
Turan Tovuz in strong form (4W in last 5)
Qarabağ FK in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.