AI Match Insights

Pro League May 02, 2025

Al-Qadisiyah

Home
VS
18:00

Al Akhdoud

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Al-Qadisiyah Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Al Akhdoud Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.54 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Al Akhdoud Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Al-Qadisiyah Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Khalee… 1-1
Apr 18 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Nassr 2-1
Apr 12 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Fateh … 2-1
Apr 05 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-1
Mar 14 Al-Qadisi… vs Damac 1-0
Mar 06 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ittiha… 1-1
Mar 02 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Riyadh 1-0
Feb 25 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 4-1
Feb 13 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Shabab 2-3
Feb 01 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Fateh … 1-1
Al Akhdoud Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda … 1-2
Apr 23 Al Akhdoud vs Al Akhdoud 0-1
Apr 11 Al Akhdoud vs Al Taawou… 1-1
Apr 04 Al Akhdoud vs Al Taawou… 0-2
Mar 15 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Ahli S… 2-1
Mar 08 Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh 1-0
Mar 02 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Ittiha… 1-1
Mar 01 Al Akhdoud vs Al Khalee… 2-1
Feb 25 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Ahli S… 5-1
Feb 24 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Fateh … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Akhdoud struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2024 Al Akhdoud 0 - 3 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Mar 09, 2024 Al-Qadisiyah 2 - 0 Al Akhdoud First Division…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Qadisiyah to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Qadisiyah Power 0
Al Akhdoud Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al-Qadisiyah Position

+13

Position Gap

17

Al Akhdoud Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.