AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 16, 2025

Perth Glory Women

Home
VS
09:00

Wellington Phoenix Women

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Perth Glory Women Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.54 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Perth Glory Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 3-0
Feb 01 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 1-0
Jan 26 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 3-2
Jan 10 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 1-1
Jan 04 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 2-0
Dec 27 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 0-1
Dec 20 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-1
Dec 15 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Nov 24 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 1-1
Nov 15 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 1-0
Jan 26 Wellingto… vs Central C… 1-0
Jan 19 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 3-2
Jan 12 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Jan 09 Wellingto… vs Western S… 0-3
Jan 04 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Dec 28 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 21 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Dec 08 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Nov 22 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Perth Glory Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Wellington Phoenix Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 04, 2025 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 0 Perth Glory Women W-League
Mar 08, 2024 Perth Glory Women 1 - 3 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Nov 25, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 2 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Mar 18, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 15, 2023 Perth Glory Women 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Wellington Phoenix … 1 - 3 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 31, 2022 Perth Glory Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Perth Glory Women Position

-5

Position Gap

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.