AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 09, 2025

Melbourne Victory Women

Home
VS
06:00

Canberra United Women

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Women Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Canberra United Women Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.51 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Melbourne Victory Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Melbourne… vs Western U… 1-2
Feb 16 Melbourne… vs Central C… 2-0
Feb 01 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Jan 24 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 11 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Jan 08 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Jan 05 Melbourne… vs Western S… 4-4
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Dec 21 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 0-2
Nov 23 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-1
Canberra United Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Feb 15 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 1-1
Feb 08 Canberra … vs Central C… 1-1
Feb 01 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Jan 25 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 2-2
Jan 18 Canberra … vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 15 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 04 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 1-2
Dec 29 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 0-0
Dec 21 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne Victory Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2024 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Jan 20, 2024 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 3 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Dec 16, 2023 Melbourne Victory W… 2 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 18, 2023 Canberra United Wom… 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Dec 31, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 1 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 0 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Feb 22, 2022 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 28, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 1 - 1 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Canberra United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Canberra United Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.