A-League · Mar 12, 2024 08:00
Melbourne City
PWR 35
Western Sydney Wanderers
PWR 35
Melbourne City
PWR 35
7 - 0
FT
Western Sydney Wanderers
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne City to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (15%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 7-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (37.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne City Form
WLDDL
STABLE
Western Sydney… Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS30%
Under 2.546%
Melbourne C… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Western Syd… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Melbourne Cityvs
0.38
Western Sydney…Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Melbourne C…+5
Gap#12
Western Syd…
WR 38% 22 pts
WR 14% 16 pts
Melbourne City
8.0%
| Mar 09 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 2-0 |
| Feb 24 | Melbour… v Sydney | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 5-1 |
| Feb 02 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Melbour… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | Melbour… v Western… | 0-1 |
| Dec 28 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 8-1 |
Western Sydney…
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Western… v Sydney | 1-4 |
| Feb 24 | Western… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Western… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Western… v Newcast… | 3-3 |
| Feb 04 | Western… v Macarth… | 4-3 |
| Jan 20 | Western… v Perth G… | 1-2 |
| Jan 12 | Western… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
| Jan 06 | Western… v Central… | 0-1 |
| Jan 01 | Western… v Macarth… | 3-1 |
| Dec 15 | Western… v Adelaid… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 12, 2024 | Melbourne City | 0-1 | Western Sydne… |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Melbourne City | 3-2 | Western Sydne… |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Western Sydne… | 1-1 | Melbourne City |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Western Sydne… | 1-3 | Melbourne City |
| Jan 09, 2022 | Melbourne City | 3-3 | Western Sydne… |
Key Factors
Western Sydney Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.