A-League · Apr 20, 2024 05:30

Western Sydney Wanderers
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Melbourne City
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (37.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Western Sydney… Form LLWWL
DOWN
Melbourne City Form WLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS76%
Under 2.528%
Western Syd… Goals
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Melbourne C… Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.68
Western Sydney…
vs
1.53
Melbourne City
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Western Syd…
-5
Gap
#7
Melbourne C…
WR 38% 16 pts WR 25% 22 pts
Western Sydney… 8.0%
Apr 13 Western… v Sydney 2-1
Apr 05 Western… v Brisban… 1-2
Apr 01 Western… v Macarth… 1-3
Mar 16 Western… v Perth G… 1-2
Mar 12 Western… v Melbour… 7-0
Mar 02 Western… v Sydney 1-4
Feb 24 Western… v Adelaid… 1-2
Feb 18 Western… v Central… 1-0
Feb 11 Western… v Newcast… 3-3
Feb 04 Western… v Macarth… 4-3
Melbourne City 10.0%
Apr 14 Melbour… v Perth G… 8-0
Apr 06 Melbour… v Melbour… 2-1
Apr 02 Melbour… v Central… 2-1
Mar 30 Melbour… v Newcast… 0-0
Mar 12 Melbour… v Western… 7-0
Mar 09 Melbour… v Welling… 1-0
Mar 01 Melbour… v Macarth… 2-0
Feb 24 Melbour… v Sydney 1-1
Feb 17 Melbour… v Melbour… 0-0
Feb 10 Melbour… v Brisban… 5-1
Head-to-Head (6)
Mar 12, 2024 Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydne…
Jan 12, 2024 Melbourne City 0-1 Western Sydne…
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3-2 Western Sydne…
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydne… 1-1 Melbourne City
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydne… 1-3 Melbourne City
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3-3 Western Sydne…
Key Factors
Western Sydney Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.