A-League · Apr 20, 2024 05:30

Western Sydney Wanderers
PWR 35

Melbourne City
PWR 35

Western Sydney Wanderers
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

Melbourne City
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
3-0 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (37.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Western Sydney… Form
LLWWL
DOWN
Melbourne City Form
WLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS76%
Under 2.528%
Western Syd… Goals
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Melbourne C… Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.68
Western Sydney…vs
1.53
Melbourne CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Western Syd…-5
Gap#7
Melbourne C…
WR 38% 16 pts
WR 25% 22 pts
Western Sydney…
8.0%
| Apr 13 | Western… v Sydney | 2-1 |
| Apr 05 | Western… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Apr 01 | Western… v Macarth… | 1-3 |
| Mar 16 | Western… v Perth G… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Western… v Melbour… | 7-0 |
| Mar 02 | Western… v Sydney | 1-4 |
| Feb 24 | Western… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Western… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Western… v Newcast… | 3-3 |
| Feb 04 | Western… v Macarth… | 4-3 |
Melbourne City
10.0%
| Apr 14 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 8-0 |
| Apr 06 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Melbour… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Melbour… v Newcast… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Melbour… v Western… | 7-0 |
| Mar 09 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 2-0 |
| Feb 24 | Melbour… v Sydney | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 12, 2024 | Melbourne City | 7-0 | Western Sydne… |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Melbourne City | 0-1 | Western Sydne… |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Melbourne City | 3-2 | Western Sydne… |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Western Sydne… | 1-1 | Melbourne City |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Western Sydne… | 1-3 | Melbourne City |
| Jan 09, 2022 | Melbourne City | 3-3 | Western Sydne… |
Key Factors
Western Sydney Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.