A-League · May 12, 2024 06:00
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne Vict… Form
DLDLW
STABLE
Wellington Pho… Form
WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS44%
Under 2.559%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Wellington … Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Melbourne Vict…vs
0.84
Wellington Pho…Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Melbourne V…+6
Gap#11
Wellington …
WR 57% 23 pts
WR 29% 19 pts
Melbourne Vict…
8.0%
| May 05 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Melbour… v Western… | 3-4 |
| Apr 20 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 0-0 |
| Apr 12 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Mar 31 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Melbour… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 3-2 |
| Feb 25 | Melbour… v Central… | 0-1 |
Wellington Pho…
14.0%
| Apr 27 | Welling… v Macarth… | 3-0 |
| Apr 19 | Welling… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Welling… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Welling… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Welling… v Sydney | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Welling… v Macarth… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Welling… v Central… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Wellington Ph… |
Key Factors
Wellington Phoenix in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.