A-League · May 18, 2024 06:30
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form
DWDWL
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
DDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS42%
Under 2.538%
Wellington … Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Wellington Pho…vs
0.57
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …-6
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho…
12.0%
| May 12 | Welling… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Apr 27 | Welling… v Macarth… | 3-0 |
| Apr 19 | Welling… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Welling… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Welling… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Welling… v Sydney | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Welling… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Welling… v Macarth… | 1-2 |
Melbourne Vict…
6.0%
| May 12 | Melbour… v Welling… | 0-0 |
| May 05 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Melbour… v Western… | 3-4 |
| Apr 20 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 0-0 |
| Apr 12 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Mar 31 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Melbour… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| May 12, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-0 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Wellington Ph… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.