A-League · Apr 25, 2025 09:35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-3 (5%)
2-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Macarthur FC Form
DWDWL
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Macarthur FCvs
2.22
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Macarthur FC+1
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 25 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Macarthur FC
12.0%
| Apr 20 | Macarth… v Central… | 2-2 |
| Apr 04 | Macarth… v Brisban… | 1-5 |
| Mar 28 | Macarth… v Newcast… | 3-3 |
| Mar 14 | Macarth… v Adelaid… | 4-5 |
| Mar 07 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Macarth… v Sydney | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Macarth… v Western… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Macarth… v Auckland | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Macarth… v Welling… | 1-2 |
Melbourne Vict…
12.0%
| Apr 19 | Melbour… v Auckland | 0-2 |
| Apr 12 | Melbour… v Welling… | 2-3 |
| Mar 29 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 5-3 |
| Mar 15 | Melbour… v Western… | 4-2 |
| Mar 08 | Melbour… v Central… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Melbour… v Welling… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Melbour… v Sydney | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 03, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 0-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 0-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Apr 22, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 1-4 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 04, 2022 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Macarthur FC |
| May 14, 2021 | Macarthur FC | 3-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
Key Factors
Melbourne Victory in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.