AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Ecuador Oct 02, 2024

LDU Quito

Home
VS
22:00

El Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
LDU Quito Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
El Nacional Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.75 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
LDU Quito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
El Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
LDU Quito Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 LDU Quito vs Deportivo… 3-0
Aug 25 LDU Quito vs Libertad … 3-0
May 26 LDU Quito vs Universid… 2-1
May 18 LDU Quito vs Independi… 1-1
May 01 LDU Quito vs Libertad … 2-3
Apr 19 LDU Quito vs Orense SC 1-0
Feb 18 LDU Quito vs Universid… 2-0
Dec 17 LDU Quito vs Independi… 1-1
Dec 10 LDU Quito vs Independi… 0-0
Dec 02 LDU Quito vs Mushuc Ru… 3-1
El Nacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 El Nacion… vs Aucas 0-0
Aug 18 El Nacion… vs Emelec 0-1
Aug 11 El Nacion… vs Macará 1-3
Apr 30 El Nacion… vs Delfín SC 1-0
Mar 21 El Nacion… vs Aucas 3-4
Mar 17 El Nacion… vs Emelec 0-1
Mar 09 El Nacion… vs Macará 1-0
Dec 02 El Nacion… vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 25 El Nacion… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Sep 30 El Nacion… vs Delfín SC 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • LDU Quito in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • El Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: LDU Quito to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LDU Quito Power 0
El Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.