AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Uruguay Apr 17, 2024

Peñarol Montevideo

Home
VS
23:30

Atletico Torque

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Peñarol Montevideo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Atletico Torque Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.77 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peñarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Atletico Torque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Peñarol Montevideo Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Peñarol M… vs Racing Cl… 1-2
Feb 12 Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… 3-1
Feb 06 Peñarol M… vs Club Naci… 2-1
Feb 05 Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… 2-0
Jan 31 Peñarol M… vs Defensor … 1-0
Dec 16 Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… 0-1
Dec 13 Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… 2-0
Dec 09 Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… 0-1
Dec 06 Peñarol M… vs Rangers FC 0-0
Dec 06 Peñarol M… vs River Pla… 2-1
Atletico Torque Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Atletico … vs Sportivo … 8-1
Feb 08 Atletico … vs Deportivo… 2-0
Dec 07 Atletico … vs Club Naci… 1-1
Dec 02 Atletico … vs River Pla… 1-2
Nov 29 Atletico … vs Deportivo… 5-1
Nov 24 Atletico … vs Boston Ri… 2-0
Nov 18 Atletico … vs Cerrito 1-0
Nov 14 Atletico … vs Racing Cl… 1-0
Nov 04 Atletico … vs Cerro Lar… 1-2
Oct 18 Atletico … vs Peñarol M… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Atletico Torque in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 18, 2023 Atletico Torque 2 - 3 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Jul 03, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 0 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Mar 12, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 2 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Sep 24, 2022 Peñarol Montevideo 0 - 1 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Jun 12, 2022 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 2 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Apr 23, 2022 Atletico Torque 0 - 1 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2021 Peñarol Montevideo 3 - 1 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Peñarol Montevideo Power 0
Atletico Torque Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.