Primera División - Apertura · Jul 07, 2024 21:00

Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Wanderers
PWR 35
58% H 22% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Defensor Sporting to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Defensor Sport… Form WDDWD
STABLE
Wanderers Form DLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS44%
Under 2.549%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Wanderers Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Defensor Sport…
vs
0.68
Wanderers
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Defensor Sp…
-1
Gap
#2
Wanderers
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Defensor Sport… 14.0%
Jun 22 Defenso… v Racing … 0-1
Jun 15 Defenso… v Progreso 1-1
May 22 Defenso… v Atletic… 2-2
May 12 Defenso… v Progreso 1-4
Apr 28 Defenso… v Wandere… 2-2
Apr 10 Defenso… v River P… 2-1
Mar 14 Defenso… v Danubio 1-0
Feb 29 Defenso… v Plaza C… 0-1
Jan 31 Defenso… v Peñarol… 1-0
Dec 07 Defenso… v Danubio 0-2
Wanderers 5.0%
Apr 28 Wandere… v Defenso… 2-2
Aug 25 Wandere… v Defenso… 3-0
Jun 18 Wandere… v Defenso… 2-0
Feb 13 Wandere… v Defenso… 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Apr 28, 2024 Defensor Spor… 2-2 Wanderers
Aug 25, 2023 Defensor Spor… 3-0 Wanderers
Jun 18, 2023 Defensor Spor… 2-0 Wanderers
Feb 13, 2023 Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Spor…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.