Primera División - Apertura · Jul 07, 2024 21:00

Defensor Sporting
PWR 35

Wanderers
PWR 35

Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Wanderers
PWR 35
58% H
22% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Defensor Sporting to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (13%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Defensor Sport… Form
WDDWD
STABLE
Wanderers Form
DLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS44%
Under 2.549%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Wanderers Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Defensor Sport…vs
0.68
WanderersDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Defensor Sp…-1
Gap#2
Wanderers
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Defensor Sport…
14.0%
| Jun 22 | Defenso… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Jun 15 | Defenso… v Progreso | 1-1 |
| May 22 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| May 12 | Defenso… v Progreso | 1-4 |
| Apr 28 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 2-2 |
| Apr 10 | Defenso… v River P… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Defenso… v Danubio | 1-0 |
| Feb 29 | Defenso… v Plaza C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | Defenso… v Danubio | 0-2 |
Wanderers
5.0%
| Apr 28 | Wandere… v Defenso… | 2-2 |
| Aug 25 | Wandere… v Defenso… | 3-0 |
| Jun 18 | Wandere… v Defenso… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Wandere… v Defenso… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 28, 2024 | Defensor Spor… | 2-2 | Wanderers |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Defensor Spor… | 3-0 | Wanderers |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Defensor Spor… | 2-0 | Wanderers |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Wanderers | 1-1 | Defensor Spor… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.