Primera División - Apertura · Aug 04, 2024 18:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Club Nacional
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Club Nacional
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Club Nacional to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (27%)
0-0 (22%)
0-2 (16%)
1-1 (8%)
0-3 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Club Nacional Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS18%
Under 2.580%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Peñarol Montev…vs
1.23
Club NacionalDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum36%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Peñarol Mon…-4
Gap#5
Club Nacion…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Jul 28 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Fenix | 2-0 |
| Jul 21 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Peñarol… v River P… | 1-3 |
| Jul 13 | Peñarol… v Rampla … | 3-2 |
| Jul 06 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jul 06 | Peñarol… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Jun 23 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Jun 22 | Peñarol… v Progreso | 0-2 |
Club Nacional
18.0%
| Jul 28 | Club Na… v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Jul 20 | Club Na… v Miramar | 4-0 |
| Jul 13 | Club Na… v Danubio | 0-6 |
| Jul 07 | Club Na… v Rampla … | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 0-4 |
| Jun 15 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Club Na… v Boston … | 1-3 |
| May 20 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Apr 06 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Club Na… v Progreso | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.