AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Jan 25, 2024

Millonarios

Home
VS
01:00

Junior

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Millonarios Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Junior Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.00 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Millonarios Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Millonari… vs Independi… 5-0
Jan 19 Millonari… vs Junior 1-0
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-1
Dec 04 Millonari… vs America d… 1-0
Dec 01 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 26 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-0
Nov 24 Millonari… vs Atlético … 1-1
Nov 19 Millonari… vs America d… 2-1
Nov 16 Millonari… vs Atlético … 1-1
Oct 26 Millonari… vs Chico 1-1
Junior Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Junior vs Millonari… 1-0
Dec 14 Junior vs Independi… 2-1
Dec 10 Junior vs Independi… 3-2
Dec 07 Junior vs Deportes … 4-2
Dec 03 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 29 Junior vs Rionegro … 1-1
Nov 26 Junior vs Rionegro … 3-1
Nov 19 Junior vs Deportivo… 3-0
Nov 14 Junior vs Deportes … 3-1
Oct 25 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Junior in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Millonarios struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2024 Junior 1 - 0 Millonarios Superliga
Oct 15, 2023 Millonarios 1 - 0 Junior Primera A
Apr 30, 2023 Junior 1 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Millonarios to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Junior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.