Primera A · Nov 21, 2024 01:30
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
Santa Fe
PWR 35
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
5 - 0
FT
Santa Fe
PWR 35
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
0-0 (15%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Atlético Nacio… Form
LLDDD
DOWN
Santa Fe Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS32%
Under 2.570%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Santa Fe Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Atlético Nacio…vs
0.55
Santa FeDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Atlético Na…+3
Gap#9
Santa Fe
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
Atlético Nacio…
6.0%
| Nov 18 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 1-0 |
| Nov 15 | Atlétic… v Deporte… | 1-0 |
| Nov 11 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Atlétic… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Atlétic… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | Atlétic… v Jaguares | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Atlétic… v Jaguares | 1-3 |
| Sep 29 | Atlétic… v Chico | 6-2 |
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-0 |
Santa Fe
16.0%
| Nov 15 | Santa Fe v Jaguares | 3-0 |
| Nov 12 | Santa Fe v America… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Santa Fe v Once Ca… | 2-1 |
| Nov 05 | Santa Fe v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Santa Fe v Chico | 3-1 |
| Oct 06 | Santa Fe v Rionegr… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Santa Fe v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Sep 30 | Santa Fe v Deporte… | 0-0 |
| Sep 26 | Santa Fe v Alianza… | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Santa Fe v Fortale… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 05, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Santa Fe |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Santa Fe | 0-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Atlético Naci… | 3-0 | Santa Fe |
| May 12, 2023 | Santa Fe | 0-2 | Atlético Naci… |
Key Factors
Santa Fe in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.