AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Dec 01, 2024

Junior

Home
VS
23:30

Once Caldas

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Junior Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Once Caldas Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.66 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Once Caldas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Junior Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Junior vs Once Cald… 2-2
Nov 25 Junior vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 22 Junior vs America d… 1-0
Nov 15 Junior vs Deportivo… 3-0
Nov 12 Junior vs Once Cald… 0-0
Nov 07 Junior vs Millonari… 0-0
Oct 20 Junior vs Deportivo… 3-1
Oct 03 Junior vs Independi… 2-0
Sep 27 Junior vs Atlético … 2-0
Sep 11 Junior vs Independi… 2-0
Once Caldas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Once Cald… vs Junior 2-2
Nov 24 Once Cald… vs America d… 1-1
Nov 21 Once Cald… vs Deportes … 0-0
Nov 15 Once Cald… vs America d… 3-0
Nov 12 Once Cald… vs Junior 0-0
Nov 09 Once Cald… vs Santa Fe 2-1
Oct 14 Once Cald… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Sep 14 Once Cald… vs Deportivo… 4-1
Aug 26 Once Cald… vs Jaguares 2-0
May 24 Once Cald… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 28, 2024 Once Caldas 2 - 2 Junior Primera A
Nov 12, 2024 Once Caldas 0 - 0 Junior Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Junior Power 0
Once Caldas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Junior Position

-2

Position Gap

10

Once Caldas Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.