AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Championship Oct 20, 2024

Orange County SC

Home
VS
02:00

New Mexico United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Orange County SC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
New Mexico United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 0.43 - 1.98
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orange County SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
New Mexico United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-2 (18%) 0-3 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Orange County SC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 17 Orange Co… vs El Paso L… 0-2
Jul 04 Orange Co… vs New Mexic… 2-0
May 08 Orange Co… vs Loudoun U… 1-2
Apr 21 Orange Co… vs Sacrament… 0-2
Mar 10 Orange Co… vs Sacrament… 2-2
New Mexico United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 13 New Mexic… vs FC UFA 1-1
Jul 11 New Mexic… vs Los Angel… 3-1
Jul 04 New Mexic… vs Orange Co… 2-0
Jun 06 New Mexic… vs CS Uruguay 0-4
Jun 01 New Mexic… vs Olimpia 1-0
May 21 New Mexic… vs New York … 0-3
May 09 New Mexic… vs Real Salt… 4-2
Mar 22 New Mexic… vs Panama 0-3
Jul 16 New Mexic… vs Panama 1-0
Jun 18 New Mexic… vs Panama 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Orange County SC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • New Mexico United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 04, 2024 New Mexico United 2 - 0 Orange County SC USL Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Orange County SC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Orange County SC Power 0
New Mexico United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.