AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Sep 20, 2024

Derry City

Home
VS
18:45

Shamrock Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Derry City Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Shamrock Rovers Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.25 - 1.17
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Shamrock Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Derry City Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Derry City vs Shelbourne 2-0
Sep 13 Derry City vs Cork City 1-4
Sep 06 Derry City vs Treaty Un… 1-1
Aug 30 Derry City vs Galaxy 1-0
Aug 30 Derry City vs UCD 0-1
Aug 24 Derry City vs Longford … 2-2
Aug 23 Derry City vs Waterford 0-1
Aug 18 Derry City vs Bohemians… 2-2
Aug 16 Derry City vs Cork City 0-1
Jul 21 Derry City vs St Patric… 3-0
Shamrock Rovers Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Shamrock … vs Galaxy 1-2
Sep 13 Shamrock … vs Sligo Rov… 4-0
Sep 01 Shamrock … vs Bohemians… 2-1
Aug 25 Shamrock … vs Galaxy 1-1
Aug 11 Shamrock … vs Drogheda … 1-1
Jul 19 Shamrock … vs Bohemians… 1-0
Jul 04 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-0
May 20 Shamrock … vs Derry City 1-0
May 17 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-0
Apr 19 Shamrock … vs Derry City 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derry City struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 20, 2024 Shamrock Rovers 1 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Apr 19, 2024 Derry City 1 - 3 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Mar 04, 2024 Shamrock Rovers 2 - 2 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Sep 15, 2023 Derry City 1 - 1 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Derry City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Derry City Power 0
Shamrock Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.