AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Oct 18, 2024

Shelbourne

Home
VS
18:45

Waterford

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Shelbourne Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Waterford Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.93 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shelbourne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Waterford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Shelbourne Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Shelbourne vs Shamrock … 2-0
Sep 30 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 2-3
Sep 27 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rov… 0-0
Sep 20 Shelbourne vs Galaxy 1-0
Sep 14 Shelbourne vs Derry City 2-0
Sep 06 Shelbourne vs Bohemians… 1-1
Aug 30 Shelbourne vs Dundalk 0-1
Aug 23 Shelbourne vs Bohemians… 1-1
Aug 16 Shelbourne vs Galaxy 1-1
Jul 21 Shelbourne vs Bray Wand… 0-1
Waterford Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 Waterford vs Finn Harps 1-3
Oct 11 Waterford vs Drogheda … 0-0
Oct 11 Waterford vs Derry City 4-0
Oct 06 Waterford vs Drogheda … 3-2
Sep 27 Waterford vs Galaxy 1-2
Sep 27 Waterford vs UCD 2-0
Sep 21 Waterford vs Longford … 3-0
Sep 20 Waterford vs St Patric… 3-0
Sep 17 Waterford vs Bray Wand… 0-0
Sep 13 Waterford vs Dundalk 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Shelbourne struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 13, 2024 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
May 17, 2024 Shelbourne 1 - 0 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Feb 16, 2024 Waterford 1 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Oct 16, 2022 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne FAI Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shelbourne to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shelbourne Power 0
Waterford Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.