Predictions Match Details
League One · May 04, 2024 14:00

Hamilton Academical
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Kelty Hearts
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hamilton Acade… Form WWLWD
STABLE
Kelty Hearts Form LDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS55%
Under 2.542%
Hamilton Ac… Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Kelty Hearts Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Hamilton Acade…
vs
0.97
Kelty Hearts
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings66%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Hamilton Ac…
+2
Gap
#10
Kelty Hearts
WR 70% 23 pts WR 27% 14 pts
Hamilton Acade… 14.0%
Apr 27 Hamilto… v Alloa A… 0-1
Apr 20 Hamilto… v Montrose 1-2
Apr 13 Hamilto… v Falkirk 0-2
Apr 06 Hamilto… v Alloa A… 1-3
Mar 30 Hamilto… v Queen o… 0-0
Mar 23 Hamilto… v Rangers… 1-3
Mar 16 Hamilto… v Stirlin… 3-0
Mar 02 Hamilto… v Kelty H… 0-5
Feb 24 Hamilto… v Alloa A… 1-2
Feb 03 Hamilto… v Queen o… 0-2
Kelty Hearts 14.0%
Apr 27 Kelty H… v Montrose 0-2
Apr 20 Kelty H… v Falkirk 2-2
Apr 13 Kelty H… v Stirlin… 1-0
Apr 06 Kelty H… v Queen o… 1-2
Mar 30 Kelty H… v Edinbur… 3-1
Mar 23 Kelty H… v Alloa A… 3-2
Mar 19 Kelty H… v Alloa A… 2-1
Mar 16 Kelty H… v Rangers… 0-1
Mar 09 Kelty H… v Alloa A… 3-0
Mar 02 Kelty H… v Hamilto… 0-5
Head-to-Head (4)
Mar 02, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0-5 Hamilton Acad…
Dec 23, 2023 Hamilton Acad… 1-1 Kelty Hearts
Nov 25, 2023 Hamilton Acad… 0-2 Kelty Hearts
Aug 12, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0-2 Hamilton Acad…
Key Factors
Hamilton Academical in strong form (3W in last 5)
Kelty Hearts in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.