League One · Mar 29, 2025 15:00
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
Dumbarton
PWR 41
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Dumbarton
PWR 41
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Alloa Athletic to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
2-0 (14%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack51
Defense41
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Alloa Athletic Form
DLWWL
STABLE
Dumbarton Form
DDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS32%
Under 2.569%
Alloa Athle… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Dumbarton Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Alloa Athleticvs
0.54
DumbartonDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Alloa Athle…+8
Gap#9
Dumbarton
WR 40% 235 pts
WR 31% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 161 | 65 | 40 | 56 | 251 | 217 | 235 |
| Dumbarton | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 66 | 50 |
Alloa Athletic
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Alloa A… v Inverne… | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Alloa A… v Montrose | 3-1 |
| Mar 22 | Alloa A… v Stranra… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Alloa A… v Inverne… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Alloa A… v Queen o… | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Alloa A… v Spartans | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Alloa A… v Stenhou… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Alloa A… v Elgin C… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Alloa A… v Stranra… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Alloa A… v Rangers… | 2-1 |
Dumbarton
4.0%
| Mar 22 | Dumbart… v Queen o… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Dumbart… v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Dumbart… v Inverne… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Dumbart… v Stenhou… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Dumbart… v Airdrie… | 1-5 |
| Jan 04 | Dumbart… v Inverne… | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 1-5 |
| Dec 07 | Dumbart… v Stenhou… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 08, 2025 | Alloa Athletic | 2-1 | Dumbarton |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Dumbarton | 1-1 | Alloa Athletic |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Dumbarton | 1-5 | Alloa Athletic |
| Dec 03, 2024 | Alloa Athletic | 2-2 | Dumbarton |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Dumbarton | 3-2 | Alloa Athletic |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alloa Athletic | 1-1 | Dumbarton |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Dumbarton | 3-3 | Alloa Athletic |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 4-5 | Dumbarton |
| May 13, 2023 | Dumbarton | 0-0 | Alloa Athletic |
| May 09, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 6-0 | Dumbarton |
Key Factors
Dumbarton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.