League One · Apr 26, 2025 14:00

Dumbarton
PWR 41
3 - 1
FT

Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (14%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 1-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense41
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Dumbarton Form DLWWD
STABLE
Alloa Athletic Form DWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS45%
Under 2.556%
Dumbarton Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Alloa Athle… Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Dumbarton
vs
1.66
Alloa Athletic
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Dumbarton
-8
Gap
#1
Alloa Athle…
WR 31% 50 pts WR 40% 235 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Dumbarton39121413576650
Alloa Athletic161654056251217235
Dumbarton 12.0%
Apr 19 Dumbart… v Montrose 2-2
Apr 12 Dumbart… v Rangers… 1-3
Apr 05 Dumbart… v Kelty H… 0-6
Mar 29 Dumbart… v Alloa A… 2-3
Mar 22 Dumbart… v Queen o… 0-0
Mar 15 Dumbart… v Arbroath 1-1
Mar 08 Dumbart… v Inverne… 0-1
Mar 01 Dumbart… v Stenhou… 1-3
Feb 08 Dumbart… v Alloa A… 2-1
Feb 01 Dumbart… v Alloa A… 1-1
Alloa Athletic 12.0%
Apr 19 Alloa A… v Rangers… 1-1
Apr 19 Alloa A… v Arbroath 5-1
Apr 12 Alloa A… v Alloa A… 1-0
Apr 12 Alloa A… v Clyde 1-1
Apr 05 Alloa A… v Queen o… 0-2
Apr 05 Alloa A… v Stenhou… 1-4
Mar 29 Alloa A… v Dumbart… 2-3
Mar 29 Alloa A… v Kelty H… 2-1
Mar 22 Alloa A… v Inverne… 1-1
Mar 22 Alloa A… v Montrose 3-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 29, 2025 Alloa Athletic 2-3 Dumbarton
Feb 08, 2025 Alloa Athletic 2-1 Dumbarton
Feb 01, 2025 Dumbarton 1-1 Alloa Athletic
Dec 14, 2024 Dumbarton 1-5 Alloa Athletic
Dec 03, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2-2 Dumbarton
Nov 29, 2024 Dumbarton 3-2 Alloa Athletic
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1-1 Dumbarton
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3-3 Alloa Athletic
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4-5 Dumbarton
May 13, 2023 Dumbarton 0-0 Alloa Athletic
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.