Challenge Cup · Sep 07, 2024 14:00
Stenhousemuir
PWR 74
Falkirk
PWR 39
Stenhousemuir
PWR 74
1 - 1
FT
Falkirk
PWR 39
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
Stenhousemuir Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
83%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (18%)
0-0 (13%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 83%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
GAP12_HWR65POSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack76
Defense71
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack53
Defense39
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.8
Stenhousemuir Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Falkirk Form
WWWDD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS26%
Under 2.567%
Stenhousemu… Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Falkirk Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Stenhousemuirvs
0.38
FalkirkDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Stenhousemu…+34
Gap#38
Falkirk
WR 73% 25 pts
WR 25% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 25 |
| Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Stenhousemuir
6.0%
| Aug 31 | Stenhou… v Alloa A… | 5-1 |
| Aug 17 | Stenhou… v Alloa A… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | Stenhou… v Kelty H… | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Stenhou… v Falkirk | 4-0 |
| Apr 06 | Stenhou… v East Fi… | 0-0 |
| Mar 30 | Stenhou… v Dumbart… | 0-0 |
| Mar 23 | Stenhou… v Peterhe… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Stenhou… v East Fi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Stenhou… v Dumbart… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Stenhou… v Peterhe… | 2-1 |
Falkirk
16.0%
| Aug 17 | Falkirk v Heart o… | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Falkirk v Stenhou… | 4-0 |
| Jul 13 | Falkirk v Dundee … | 2-0 |
| May 04 | Falkirk v Alloa A… | 2-2 |
| Apr 27 | Falkirk v Alloa A… | 3-3 |
| Apr 20 | Falkirk v Kelty H… | 2-2 |
| Apr 13 | Falkirk v Hamilto… | 0-2 |
| Apr 06 | Falkirk v Rangers… | 5-1 |
| Mar 30 | Falkirk v Montrose | 1-7 |
| Mar 23 | Falkirk v Edinbur… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 27, 2024 | Falkirk | 4-0 | Stenhousemuir |
Key Factors
Falkirk in strong form (3W in last 5)
Stenhousemuir struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.