AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Nov 25, 2023

Hamilton Academical

Home
VS
15:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Hamilton Academical Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Kelty Hearts Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.28 - 1.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamilton Academical Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Hamilton Academical Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 Hamilton … vs Raith Rov… 1-4
Nov 04 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 1-0
Sep 23 Hamilton … vs Queen of … 1-2
Sep 16 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Aug 12 Hamilton … vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Aug 05 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 1-0
Jul 29 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 2-2
May 20 Hamilton … vs Airdrieon… 2-1
May 17 Hamilton … vs Airdrieon… 1-0
May 13 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 5-2
Kelty Hearts Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 18 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 1-3
Nov 11 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 0-1
Oct 21 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Sep 30 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 3-1
Sep 16 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 2-2
Aug 19 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Aug 12 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 0-2
Aug 05 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-2
May 06 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 4-1
Apr 29 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hamilton Academical in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 12, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Hamilton Academical League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hamilton Academical to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamilton Academical Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.