AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Mar 16, 2024

Airdrieonians

Home
VS
15:00

Arbroath

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Airdrieonians Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Arbroath Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.44 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Airdrieonians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Arbroath Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Airdrieonians Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Airdrieon… vs Inverness… 0-0
Mar 05 Airdrieon… vs Dunfermli… 0-2
Mar 02 Airdrieon… vs Queen's P… 1-1
Feb 24 Airdrieon… vs Morton 2-1
Feb 17 Airdrieon… vs Ayr Utd 2-3
Feb 11 Airdrieon… vs Heart of … 1-4
Feb 02 Airdrieon… vs Raith Rov… 0-1
Jan 27 Airdrieon… vs Partick 1-1
Jan 20 Airdrieon… vs ST Johnst… 1-0
Jan 06 Airdrieon… vs Raith Rov… 1-0
Arbroath Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Arbroath vs Raith Rov… 3-2
Feb 27 Arbroath vs Queen's P… 6-0
Feb 17 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Jan 27 Arbroath vs Morton 3-0
Jan 23 Arbroath vs Ayr Utd 2-0
Jan 13 Arbroath vs Ayr Utd 0-0
Jan 06 Arbroath vs Partick 4-0
Dec 30 Arbroath vs Raith Rov… 2-2
Dec 23 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Dec 13 Arbroath vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arbroath struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 11, 2023 Airdrieonians 2 - 0 Arbroath Championship
Sep 16, 2023 Arbroath 4 - 0 Airdrieonians Championship
Jul 23, 2022 Arbroath 3 - 0 Airdrieonians League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Airdrieonians Power 0
Arbroath Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Airdrieonians Position

-5

Position Gap

3

Arbroath Position
Home Win Rate: 8%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.