AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Apr 02, 2024

Arbroath

Home
VS
18:45

Airdrieonians

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Arbroath Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Airdrieonians Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.02 - 1.25
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arbroath Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Airdrieonians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 0-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Arbroath Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 2-3
Mar 23 Arbroath vs Partick 0-1
Mar 16 Arbroath vs Airdrieon… 5-2
Mar 01 Arbroath vs Raith Rov… 3-2
Feb 27 Arbroath vs Queen's P… 6-0
Feb 17 Arbroath vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Jan 27 Arbroath vs Morton 3-0
Jan 23 Arbroath vs Ayr Utd 2-0
Jan 13 Arbroath vs Ayr Utd 0-0
Jan 06 Arbroath vs Partick 4-0
Airdrieonians Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Airdrieon… vs Ayr Utd 2-1
Mar 24 Airdrieon… vs The New S… 1-2
Mar 16 Airdrieon… vs Arbroath 5-2
Mar 09 Airdrieon… vs Inverness… 0-0
Mar 05 Airdrieon… vs Dunfermli… 0-2
Mar 02 Airdrieon… vs Queen's P… 1-1
Feb 24 Airdrieon… vs Morton 2-1
Feb 17 Airdrieon… vs Ayr Utd 2-3
Feb 11 Airdrieon… vs Heart of … 1-4
Feb 02 Airdrieon… vs Raith Rov… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Airdrieonians in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Arbroath struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2024 Airdrieonians 5 - 2 Arbroath Championship
Nov 11, 2023 Airdrieonians 2 - 0 Arbroath Championship
Sep 16, 2023 Arbroath 4 - 0 Airdrieonians Championship
Jul 23, 2022 Arbroath 3 - 0 Airdrieonians League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arbroath to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arbroath Power 0
Airdrieonians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Arbroath Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Airdrieonians Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.