1st Division · May 04, 2025 14:00
HB Køge
PWR 37
Roskilde
PWR 41
HB Køge
PWR 37
4 - 3
FT
Roskilde
PWR 41
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: HB Køge to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
1-2 (10%)
0-2 (10%)
1-3 (6%)
0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense32
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.9
Attack57
Defense36
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.8
HB Køge Form
LLDLW
DOWN
Roskilde Form
WLDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS54%
Under 2.546%
HB Køge Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Roskilde Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
HB Køgevs
1.85
RoskildeDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
HB Køge+11
Gap#17
Roskilde
WR 29% 57 pts
WR 27% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB Køge | 48 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 68 | 93 | 57 |
| Roskilde | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 13 |
HB Køge
6.0%
| Apr 25 | HB Køge v Hillerød | 3-0 |
| Apr 21 | HB Køge v Hobro | 0-2 |
| Apr 17 | HB Køge v Roskilde | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | HB Køge v Hillerød | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | HB Køge v Roskilde | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | HB Køge v Hillerød | 1-5 |
| Sep 29 | HB Køge v Roskilde | 0-2 |
| Sep 26 | HB Køge v FC Cope… | 0-2 |
| Aug 16 | HB Køge v Hillerød | 4-2 |
| Jun 01 | HB Køge v AC Hors… | 1-1 |
Roskilde
8.0%
| Apr 26 | Roskilde v Vendsys… | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | Roskilde v Hillerød | 5-2 |
| Apr 17 | Roskilde v HB Køge | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Roskilde v Vendsys… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Roskilde v HB Køge | 2-1 |
| Sep 29 | Roskilde v HB Køge | 0-2 |
| Sep 25 | Roskilde v Silkebo… | 1-3 |
| Jun 15 | Roskilde v Aarhus … | 1-2 |
| Jun 08 | Roskilde v Esbjerg | 2-2 |
| May 31 | Roskilde v Nykøbin… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 17, 2025 | Roskilde | 1-1 | HB Køge |
| Mar 14, 2025 | HB Køge | 2-1 | Roskilde |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Roskilde | 0-2 | HB Køge |
| Jul 15, 2023 | HB Køge | 0-1 | Roskilde |
| Jun 14, 2020 | Roskilde | 2-2 | HB Køge |
Key Factors
HB Køge struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.