Challenge League · May 09, 2025 18:15

FC Aarau
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT

FC WIL 1900
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
FC Aarau Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy77%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Aarau Form LLDDL
DOWN
FC WIL 1900 Form WDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.576%
BTTS77%
Under 2.524%
FC Aarau Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
FC WIL 1900 Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
FC Aarau
vs
1.81
FC WIL 1900
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FC Aarau
+6
Gap
#8
FC WIL 1900
WR 73% 49 pts WR 18% 21 pts
FC Aarau 4.0%
May 03 FC Aarau v Servett… 4-0
May 02 FC Aarau v FC Thun 2-1
Apr 26 FC Aarau v Servett… 1-1
Apr 25 FC Aarau v FC Scha… 1-1
Apr 19 FC Aarau v Basel W… 4-0
Apr 18 FC Aarau v FC Vaduz 2-2
Apr 12 FC Aarau v Basel W… 1-2
Apr 11 FC Aarau v Neuchât… 1-1
Apr 04 FC Aarau v Stade L… 2-2
Mar 31 FC Aarau v Bellinz… 1-1
FC WIL 1900 12.0%
May 04 FC WIL … v FC Scha… 3-1
Apr 27 FC WIL … v Bellinz… 2-2
Apr 21 FC WIL … v FC Thun 7-0
Apr 13 FC WIL … v Étoile … 2-2
Apr 04 FC WIL … v Stade N… 0-2
Apr 01 FC WIL … v FC Vaduz 0-3
Mar 28 FC WIL … v FC Scha… 1-3
Mar 16 FC WIL … v FC Aarau 2-2
Mar 08 FC WIL … v Bellinz… 0-3
Feb 28 FC WIL … v Stade L… 2-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Mar 16, 2025 FC WIL 1900 2-2 FC Aarau
Nov 24, 2024 FC Aarau 1-1 FC WIL 1900
Jul 26, 2024 FC WIL 1900 2-2 FC Aarau
May 17, 2024 FC Aarau 0-4 FC WIL 1900
Feb 23, 2024 FC WIL 1900 1-1 FC Aarau
Dec 10, 2023 FC Aarau 1-1 FC WIL 1900
Sep 29, 2023 FC WIL 1900 0-2 FC Aarau
Key Factors
FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.