AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig May 18, 2025

Galatasaray

Home
VS
16:00

Kocaelispor FK

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Galatasaray Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Kocaelispor FK Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Kocaelispor FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Galatasaray Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Galatasar… vs Trabzonsp… 0-3
May 10 Galatasar… vs Trabzonsp… 0-2
May 03 Galatasar… vs Samsunspor 4-1
Apr 27 Galatasar… vs Eyüpspor 1-5
Apr 22 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 1-5
Apr 11 Galatasar… vs Samsunspor 0-2
Apr 02 Galatasar… vs Fenerbahce 1-2
Mar 14 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 4-0
Mar 02 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 3-3
Feb 27 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 0-0
Kocaelispor FK Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 3-1
May 11 Kocaelisp… vs Keçiöreng… 4-1
May 04 Kocaelisp… vs 76 Iğdır … 4-0
May 03 Kocaelisp… vs Altay 3-0
May 03 Kocaelisp… vs Antalyasp… 1-1
Apr 27 Kocaelisp… vs Batman Pe… 1-2
Apr 27 Kocaelisp… vs Boluspor 3-4
Apr 27 Kocaelisp… vs Rizespor 1-0
Apr 20 Kocaelisp… vs Fenerbahce 3-3
Apr 20 Kocaelisp… vs Erokspor 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Galatasaray in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 22, 2024 Kocaelispor FK 1 - 5 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Jan 15, 2024 Galatasaray 2 - 1 Kocaelispor FK SĂĽper Lig
Aug 12, 2023 Kocaelispor FK 0 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Apr 14, 2023 Galatasaray 6 - 0 Kocaelispor FK SĂĽper Lig
Oct 15, 2022 Kocaelispor FK 2 - 1 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Feb 12, 2022 Galatasaray 1 - 1 Kocaelispor FK SĂĽper Lig
Sep 22, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 3 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Mar 13, 2021 Kocaelispor FK 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Galatasaray to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Galatasaray Power 0
Kocaelispor FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Galatasaray Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Kocaelispor FK Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.