UEFA Champions League · Mar 12, 2025 20:00
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
1 - 0
FT
Real Madrid
PWR 49
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Atlético Madrid Form
LWDWD
STABLE
Real Madrid Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS17%
Under 2.552%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Real Madrid Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Atlético Madridvs
0.20
Real MadridDecision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings32%
Market50%
League Standings
#12
Atlético Ma…-9
Gap#3
Real Madrid
WR 100% 13 pts
WR 67% 15 pts
Atlético Madrid
12.0%
| Mar 04 | Atlétic… v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 4-4 |
| Feb 22 | Atlétic… v Valencia | 0-3 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Real Ma… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atlétic… v Getafe | 5-0 |
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Atlétic… v RB Salz… | 1-4 |
| Jan 15 | Atlétic… v Elche | 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 1-2 |
Real Madrid
16.0%
| Mar 09 | Real Ma… v Getafe | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Real Ma… v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Real Ma… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Real Ma… v Ath Bil… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Real Ma… v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Real Ma… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real Ma… v Girona | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 0-3 |
| Feb 19 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 04, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 1-1 | Real Madrid |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 4-2 | Real Madrid |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid | 5-3 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 3-1 | Real Madrid |
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.