AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Apr 27, 2025

AEK Athens FC

Home
VS
17:00

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
AEK Athens FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.78 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Athens FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Olympiakos Piraeus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
AEK Athens FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 1-0
Apr 06 AEK Athen… vs Panathina… 3-1
Apr 02 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 2-0
Mar 30 AEK Athen… vs PAOK 2-3
Mar 09 AEK Athen… vs Aris Thes… 0-0
Mar 02 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 0-1
Feb 26 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 6-0
Feb 23 AEK Athen… vs Asteras T… 0-3
Feb 15 AEK Athen… vs Atromitos 2-1
Jan 25 AEK Athen… vs Panetolik… 1-0
Olympiakos Piraeus Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Olympiako… vs AEK Athen… 1-0
Apr 13 Olympiako… vs AEK 1-0
Apr 06 Olympiako… vs PAOK 2-1
Apr 06 Olympiako… vs PAOK 2-1
Apr 02 Olympiako… vs AEK Athen… 2-0
Mar 30 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 4-2
Mar 30 Olympiako… vs Panathina… 4-2
Mar 13 Olympiako… vs Bodø/Glimt 2-1
Mar 09 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 1-0
Mar 09 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Athens FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Olympiakos Piraeus struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2025 Olympiakos Piraeus 1 - 0 AEK Athens FC Super League 1
Apr 02, 2025 AEK Athens FC 2 - 0 Olympiakos Piraeus Cup
Mar 02, 2025 AEK Athens FC 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1
Feb 26, 2025 Olympiakos Piraeus 6 - 0 AEK Athens FC Cup
Nov 24, 2024 Olympiakos Piraeus 4 - 1 AEK Athens FC Super League 1
May 15, 2024 Olympiakos Piraeus 2 - 0 AEK Athens FC Super League 1
Mar 31, 2024 AEK Athens FC 1 - 0 Olympiakos Piraeus Super League 1
Jan 07, 2024 Olympiakos Piraeus 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC Super League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AEK Athens FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Athens FC Power 0
Olympiakos Piraeus Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Athens FC Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Olympiakos Piraeus Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.