AI Match Insights

Liga Profesional Argentina Dec 07, 2024

Lanús

Home
VS
20:00

Instituto Cordoba

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Lanús Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Instituto Cordoba Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.94 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lanús Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Instituto Cordoba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Lanús Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Lanús vs Banfield 0-1
Oct 28 Lanús vs Atlético … 1-0
Sep 13 Lanús vs Unión San… 1-1
Aug 04 Lanús vs Tigre 3-2
May 20 Lanús vs San Loren… 1-1
Mar 28 Lanús vs Unión San… 2-2
Mar 11 Lanús vs Tigre 2-3
Feb 26 Lanús vs Banfield 1-1
Jan 27 Lanús vs San Loren… 0-2
Nov 05 Lanús vs Unión San… 0-0
Instituto Cordoba Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Instituto… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Aug 17 Instituto… vs Vélez Sar… 1-0
Aug 11 Instituto… vs Platense 2-0
Aug 03 Instituto… vs Talleres … 1-1
May 10 Instituto… vs Sarmiento… 1-2
Apr 03 Instituto… vs Talleres … 1-2
Mar 17 Instituto… vs Vélez Sar… 1-0
Feb 12 Instituto… vs Talleres … 2-2
Oct 29 Instituto… vs Vélez Sar… 0-1
Sep 17 Instituto… vs Talleres … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Instituto Cordoba in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 25, 2023 Instituto Cordoba 2 - 1 Lanús Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

PRO: Lanús to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Lanús Power 0
Instituto Cordoba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Lanús Position

+15

Position Gap

22

Instituto Cordoba Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.