Predictions Match Details
Eerste Divisie · Apr 14, 2025 18:00

Jong PSV
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT

MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Jong PSV to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Jong PSV Form DDLWL
STABLE
MVV Maastricht Form LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS92%
Under 2.536%
Jong PSV Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
MVV Maastri… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Jong PSV
vs
2.65
MVV Maastricht
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings84%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Jong PSV
+12
Gap
#16
MVV Maastri…
WR 58% 40 pts WR 23% 29 pts
Jong PSV 8.0%
Mar 14 Jong PSV v Helmond… 1-1
Mar 10 Jong PSV v FC OSS 2-2
Feb 10 Jong PSV v Cambuur 1-4
Dec 20 Jong PSV v Vitesse 6-4
Nov 29 Jong PSV v PSV Ein… 1-0
Nov 08 Jong PSV v Cambuur 1-0
Oct 25 Jong PSV v Vitesse 1-3
Sep 30 Jong PSV v Helmond… 1-3
Sep 16 Jong PSV v ADO Den… 2-2
Sep 13 Jong PSV v FC OSS 0-3
MVV Maastricht 12.0%
Mar 14 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 0-1
Mar 07 MVV Maa… v Helmond… 4-0
Feb 14 MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… 2-0
Feb 01 MVV Maa… v Roda 3-2
Jan 18 MVV Maa… v Den Bos… 5-0
Dec 17 MVV Maa… v Feyenoo… 1-2
Dec 02 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 2-3
Nov 17 MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… 1-1
Nov 04 MVV Maa… v Utrecht 4-3
Oct 30 MVV Maa… v Den Bos… 2-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Aug 30, 2024 MVV Maastricht 3-2 Jong PSV
Feb 19, 2024 MVV Maastricht 3-3 Jong PSV
Oct 06, 2023 Jong PSV 2-3 MVV Maastricht
Apr 24, 2023 Jong PSV 0-1 MVV Maastricht
Oct 14, 2022 MVV Maastricht 1-1 Jong PSV
Apr 25, 2022 Jong PSV 2-2 MVV Maastricht
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1-2 Jong PSV
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3-1 MVV Maastricht
Key Factors
MVV Maastricht in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.