Eerste Divisie · Apr 19, 2025 19:00
De Graafschap
PWR 35
Jong AZ
PWR 35
De Graafschap
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Jong AZ
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: De Graafschap to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
De Graafschap Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Jong AZ Form
WLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS48%
Under 2.554%
De Graafsch… Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Jong AZ Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
De Graafschapvs
0.88
Jong AZDecision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings71%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
De Graafsch…+14
Gap#17
Jong AZ
WR 46% 42 pts
WR 46% 26 pts
De Graafschap
12.0%
| Apr 11 | De Graa… v PSV Ein… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | De Graa… v Roda | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | De Graa… v FC OSS | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | De Graa… v Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | De Graa… v Den Bos… | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | De Graa… v ADO Den… | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | De Graa… v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | De Graa… v Heracles | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | De Graa… v Sparta … | 4-0 |
| Dec 09 | De Graa… v Jong AZ | 2-0 |
Jong AZ
10.0%
| Apr 18 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 1-4 |
| Apr 14 | Jong AZ v FC Vole… | 0-1 |
| Apr 14 | Jong AZ v Vitesse | 1-1 |
| Apr 04 | Jong AZ v Dordrec… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Jong AZ v MVV Maa… | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Jong AZ v ADO Den… | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Jong AZ v Utrecht | 5-1 |
| Mar 03 | Jong AZ v PSV Ein… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Jong AZ v Roda | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 09, 2024 | Jong AZ | 2-0 | De Graafschap |
| Mar 11, 2024 | De Graafschap | 0-2 | Jong AZ |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Jong AZ | 1-2 | De Graafschap |
| Jan 13, 2023 | De Graafschap | 3-0 | Jong AZ |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Jong AZ | 5-1 | De Graafschap |
| May 06, 2022 | Jong AZ | 1-1 | De Graafschap |
| Nov 26, 2021 | De Graafschap | 1-3 | Jong AZ |
| May 07, 2021 | Jong AZ | 1-1 | De Graafschap |
Key Factors
De Graafschap in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.