AI Match Insights
Liga Portugal 2 Apr 19, 2025
Académico Viseu
HomeVS
13:00
Moreirense
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Académico Viseu Win
Draw
Moreirense Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.80 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Académico Viseu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (20%)
0-0 (12%)
3-0 (12%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
Académico Viseu Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31 | Académico… vs Benfica | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Académico… vs Felgueira… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Académico… vs União de … | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Académico… vs FC Porto B | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Académico… vs Moreirense | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | Académico… vs Vizela | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Académico… vs Pacos Fer… | 4-3 |
| Dec 07 | Académico… vs Moreirense | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Académico… vs Benfica | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Académico… vs Felgueira… | 1-1 |
Moreirense Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18 | Moreirense vs Sporting … | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Moreirense vs Sp Lisbon | 3-1 |
| Apr 13 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave FC | 0-2 |
| Apr 13 | Moreirense vs Felgueira… | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Moreirense vs FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Apr 11 | Moreirense vs União de … | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Moreirense vs GIL Vicen… | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | Moreirense vs Guimaraes | 2-2 |
| Mar 16 | Moreirense vs Boavista | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreirense vs Chaves | 4-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | Académico Viseu | 2 - 1 | Moreirense | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | Académico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Moreirense | 2 - 2 | Académico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Moreirense | 1 - 2 | Académico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Moreirense | 0 - 3 | Académico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Académico Viseu | 0 - 0 | Moreirense | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Académico Viseu | 2 - 0 | Moreirense | Liga Portugal 2 |
| May 20, 2023 | Académico Viseu | 2 - 1 | Moreirense | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Moreirense | 1 - 2 | Académico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Moreirense | 1 - 1 | Académico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Académico Viseu to win (78% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 97
Académico Viseu Power
0
Moreirense Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.