AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 Apr 25, 2025

Moreirense

Home
VS
14:30

Académico Viseu

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Moreirense Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Académico Viseu Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.93 - 1.15
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Académico Viseu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Moreirense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Moreirense vs Alverca 4-0
Apr 19 Moreirense vs Académico… 1-2
Apr 19 Moreirense vs Penafiel … 1-2
Apr 18 Moreirense vs Sporting … 3-1
Apr 18 Moreirense vs Sp Lisbon 3-1
Apr 13 Moreirense vs Rio Ave FC 0-2
Apr 13 Moreirense vs Felgueira… 1-1
Apr 13 Moreirense vs FC Porto 1-1
Apr 11 Moreirense vs União de … 2-1
Apr 06 Moreirense vs GIL Vicen… 0-1
Académico Viseu Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Académico… vs Moreirense 1-2
Mar 31 Académico… vs Benfica 1-0
Mar 01 Académico… vs Felgueira… 0-0
Feb 17 Académico… vs União de … 1-1
Feb 01 Académico… vs FC Porto B 3-2
Jan 24 Académico… vs Moreirense 2-1
Jan 12 Académico… vs Vizela 0-0
Jan 05 Académico… vs Pacos Fer… 4-3
Dec 07 Académico… vs Moreirense 1-0
Nov 03 Académico… vs Benfica 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Académico Viseu struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Académico Viseu 1 - 2 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Jan 24, 2025 Académico Viseu 2 - 1 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Dec 07, 2024 Moreirense 1 - 0 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Aug 18, 2024 Moreirense 2 - 2 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Apr 28, 2024 Moreirense 1 - 2 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Feb 21, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 3 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Dec 16, 2023 Académico Viseu 0 - 0 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Aug 26, 2023 Académico Viseu 2 - 0 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
May 20, 2023 Académico Viseu 2 - 1 Moreirense Liga Portugal 2
Feb 25, 2023 Moreirense 1 - 2 Académico Viseu Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moreirense Power 0
Académico Viseu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.