AI Match Insights

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Primeira Liga Apr 21, 2024

Sporting CP

Home
VS
19:30

Guimaraes

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Guimaraes Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.02 - 1.17
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Sporting CP Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Sporting … vs Famalicao 0-1
Apr 12 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 0-4
Apr 06 Sporting … vs Benfica 2-1
Apr 02 Sporting … vs Benfica 2-2
Mar 29 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 1-2
Mar 14 Sporting … vs Atalanta 2-1
Mar 10 Sporting … vs Arouca 0-3
Mar 06 Sporting … vs Atalanta 1-1
Feb 29 Sporting … vs Benfica 2-1
Feb 25 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 3-3
Guimaraes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 3-1
Apr 13 Guimaraes vs Farense 1-1
Apr 07 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 1-2
Apr 07 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 1-2
Apr 03 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 0-1
Mar 30 Guimaraes vs Moreirense 1-0
Mar 30 Guimaraes vs Moreirense 1-0
Mar 17 Guimaraes vs Chaves 1-2
Mar 09 Guimaraes vs Famalicao 1-0
Mar 02 Guimaraes vs Estoril 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 09, 2023 Guimaraes 3 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Apr 24, 2023 Guimaraes 0 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Nov 05, 2022 Sporting CP 3 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Mar 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1 - 3 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Oct 30, 2021 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Mar 20, 2021 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Nov 07, 2020 Guimaraes 0 - 4 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
Guimaraes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sporting CP Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Guimaraes Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.